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The Sleuth wrote:

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Chase and Bayless are out. Jennings is going to come in and blow up their team. They don't have veteran leaders to put him in check.

If Bayless and Chase are both gone (seems like only Chase may come back), Arizona basically has no shot at the Tourney.....even with a severely watered-down Pac-10.

Without a supporting cast, Jennings is going to look like a ballhogging, out-of-control primadonna. Him and Lute are not a match made in tourney heaven.

SCLarry wrote:

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If Budinger returns he has Hill and Wise to form a pretty fair nucleus. Nagedu is a very highly regarded PF and Withey (SP?) is not supposed to be chopped liver at C. Both are 4 star players. Jennings is something else. I don't know what his current attitude is, but a year ago he was an immature fantastically talented wild man. If he has somehow brought himself under control, he could be a killer for Lute, who sometimes has rather loose reins. Add another 3 star SG (Lavender) to the equation and the 'Cats could be formidable.
But a 2? Once again, it do seem like quite a stretch. However, IMHO, without the 'Bud', they might be lucky to make the dance at all.
/Lars/

Keep in mind that Nic Wise is a 5-9 point guard. He won't be on the court very much with Brandon Jennings.

Jordan Hill definitely took a big step forward, but Jamelle Horne looks like a career role player. Emmanuel Negedu will probably be a nice compliment to Hill, but not nearly a strong enough combo to carry a team's weight in the Pac-10.

I suppose this is all just a long way of agreeing with your overall point that if Chase is gone, Zona is out of the Tourney. Indeed, sans Chase, Arizona could be 9th in the Pac-10.